Triglav Kranj vs Brinje-Grosuplje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
34.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
2º
10º
5º
29
3º
15º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 60 |
1º
|
40% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 60 |
2º
|
30% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 56 |
3º
|
24% | |
|
|
5º
|
29 | 53 |
4º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
30 | 51 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 49 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 44 |
7º
|
23% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 44 |
8º
|
25% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 36 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 36 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 34 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 30 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 29 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 28 |
14º
|
17% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 27 |
15º
|
23% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 23 |
16º
|
45% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
4.5% | 3.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
9.5% | 10.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
86% | 86% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triglav Kranj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
BRI
1 - 3
TRI
10%
16%
74%
|
57 | 27 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
BEL
1 - 3
TRI
64%
21%
16%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
TRI
2 - 3
GOR
32%
26%
42%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
ILI
2 - 2
TRI
43%
26%
31%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
TRI
1 - 1
ALT
16%
21%
64%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Brinje-Grosuplje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
BRI
2 - 0
RUD
55%
23%
22%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
NSV
1 - 2
BRI
43%
25%
33%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
BEL
2 - 1
BRI
53%
23%
24%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
KON
1 - 1
BRI
80%
14%
6%
|
58 | 85 | 27 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
STU
4 - 2
BRI
39%
23%
39%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |