Trident vs Red Arrows analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.6%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
66.9%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trident
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
ZAN
2 - 1
TRI
82%
12%
6%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2024 |
TRI
0 - 1
KAB
15%
21%
64%
|
16 | 40 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
KAD
2 - 1
TRI
75%
16%
9%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
GRE
2 - 0
TRI
84%
11%
6%
|
16 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
TRI
2 - 3
ZES
15%
20%
65%
|
17 | 40 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Red Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
RED
2 - 0
FOR
50%
25%
25%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
MUZ
1 - 4
RED
47%
26%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
RED
1 - 0
NKA
56%
24%
20%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2023 |
RED
3 - 1
MUS
66%
18%
16%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
RED
1 - 2
EAG
52%
25%
22%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |