Tricordiano vs Villa Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
28.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tricordiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
UBE
0 - 1
TRI
61%
22%
17%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
URT
1 - 0
TRI
51%
23%
25%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
TRI
1 - 0
AMF
6%
14%
80%
|
42 | 71 | 29 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
TOM
3 - 1
TRI
53%
24%
23%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
CAL
3 - 1
TRI
54%
24%
22%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CRZ
3 - 2
VIL
85%
12%
3%
|
43 | 84 | 41 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 1
CAL
36%
27%
37%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
TUP
0 - 1
VIL
67%
21%
12%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
VIL
3 - 0
BOA
21%
25%
54%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | +2 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
UBE
1 - 0
VIL
71%
19%
10%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |