Tricolore Gasperich vs US Mondorf les Bains analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
0.9%
1-0
1.4%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
3.6%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.7%
85.4%
Win probability
3.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
11.3%
1-4
6.1%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
18.9%
0-4
9%
1-5
3.9%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
13.7%
0-5
5.7%
1-6
2.1%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
8.2%
0-6
3.1%
1-7
0.9%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
4.1%
0-7
1.4%
1-8
0.4%
2-9
0%
-7
1.8%
0-8
0.6%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.7%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tricolore Gasperich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
BRO
1 - 1
TRI
9%
13%
78%
|
22 | 8 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
TRI
0 - 2
URE
40%
21%
39%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2020 |
TRI
1 - 2
FEU
65%
17%
18%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
TRI
0 - 3
FCR
8%
13%
79%
|
24 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
TRI
3 - 1
REI
86%
9%
5%
|
24 | 5 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
US Mondorf les Bains
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
USM
3 - 2
MAR
52%
23%
25%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
JEU
2 - 2
USM
44%
26%
31%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
USM
4 - 0
F91
20%
21%
59%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
DIF
1 - 1
USM
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
UNA
4 - 2
USM
41%
25%
34%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |