Treze vs Vitória da Conquista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
29.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 5
TRE
37%
26%
36%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
ITA
3 - 3
TRE
45%
28%
28%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
TRE
1 - 0
ITA
39%
28%
34%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
TRE
4 - 0
SAN
56%
24%
20%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2018 |
VIT
0 - 0
TRE
64%
21%
15%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória da Conquista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2018 |
VIT
1 - 0
ITA
49%
25%
25%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
SAN
3 - 0
VIT
24%
26%
50%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | -2 |
| 08 May. 2018 |
VIT
1 - 0
SAN
71%
18%
11%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
ITA
2 - 1
VIT
35%
28%
36%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2018 |
VIT
0 - 0
TRE
64%
21%
15%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |