Treze vs Vitória da Conquista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2011 |
TRE
1 - 1
CAM
48%
24%
29%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2011 |
CAM
1 - 1
TRE
51%
24%
26%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
TRE
4 - 0
BOT
50%
24%
26%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2011 |
BOT
4 - 0
TRE
42%
25%
33%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
NAC
0 - 1
TRE
26%
25%
50%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória da Conquista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
BAH
4 - 0
VIT
72%
17%
11%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
VIT
1 - 2
BAH
45%
25%
30%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
ALA
3 - 4
VIT
36%
25%
39%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
VIT
3 - 0
ALA
51%
24%
26%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
BAH
4 - 1
VIT
44%
26%
31%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -2 |