Série D Brazil 1/16
Global 2-2
Treze vs URT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
33.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+88%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
URT
1 - 1
TRE
53%
25%
23%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
TRE
1 - 1
VIT
44%
27%
29%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 5
TRE
37%
26%
36%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +2 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
ITA
3 - 3
TRE
45%
28%
28%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
TRE
1 - 0
ITA
39%
28%
34%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
URT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
URT
1 - 1
TRE
53%
25%
23%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
URT
4 - 2
ESP
63%
22%
15%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
ITU
0 - 1
URT
38%
27%
35%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
MAC
3 - 1
URT
54%
24%
23%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
URT
1 - 2
MAC
45%
26%
29%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |