Copa do Brasil 1/64
Global 3-2
Treze vs Tombense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
35%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
TOM
1 - 1
TRE
43%
25%
33%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
TRE
1 - 2
POT
63%
22%
16%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
CEA
2 - 0
TRE
77%
15%
8%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
TRE
2 - 0
CRB
32%
26%
42%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +2 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
CRB
2 - 1
TRE
54%
23%
23%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Tombense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
TOM
0 - 3
CRZ
5%
15%
80%
|
53 | 86 | 33 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
TOM
1 - 1
TRE
43%
25%
33%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
MIN
1 - 2
TOM
23%
23%
54%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
URT
2 - 1
TOM
30%
24%
47%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
TOM
1 - 1
TUP
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |