Paraibano Etapas Finales Final
Global 2-2
Treze vs Sousa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
42.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+76%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
TRE
1 - 0
SPC
51%
24%
25%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
SPC
1 - 1
TRE
37%
26%
38%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
TRE
2 - 1
QUE
62%
20%
18%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
CAM
0 - 0
TRE
67%
21%
12%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
SOU
1 - 0
TRE
58%
24%
19%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
SOU
5 - 1
BOT
21%
27%
53%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
BOT
1 - 0
SOU
68%
21%
11%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SOU
4 - 1
CSP
68%
19%
13%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
SOU
4 - 0
AUT
71%
19%
11%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
SOU
1 - 0
TRE
58%
24%
19%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |