Treze vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.2%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
69%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
16.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.8%
0-2
15.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
TRE
2 - 1
ECP
70%
18%
12%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2011 |
DPB
0 - 1
TRE
23%
25%
52%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
TRE
4 - 0
AUT
65%
20%
15%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2010 |
ABC
3 - 0
TRE
66%
20%
14%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2010 |
VIT
0 - 0
TRE
83%
12%
5%
|
51 | 76 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
POR
2 - 3
SAO
29%
26%
46%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
BOT
2 - 1
SAO
14%
23%
64%
|
84 | 56 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2011 |
SAO
3 - 2
LIN
90%
7%
2%
|
84 | 58 | 26 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 0
SAO
54%
23%
23%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2011 |
GUA
3 - 4
SAO
21%
25%
54%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |