Treze vs Paysandu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
48.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+110%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
FOR
2 - 1
TRE
78%
15%
7%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2012 |
TRE
0 - 0
CUI
46%
26%
29%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 1
TRE
59%
23%
18%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
ICA
3 - 0
TRE
56%
24%
20%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2012 |
SAL
2 - 0
TRE
50%
26%
24%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2012 |
PAY
0 - 0
AGU
71%
18%
11%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 3
PAY
34%
26%
40%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2012 |
PAY
0 - 1
FOR
48%
25%
27%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 2
PAY
31%
26%
43%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2012 |
PAY
2 - 0
LUV
59%
22%
19%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |