Treze vs Luverdense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.2%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
48.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+86%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2013 |
TRE
1 - 0
BAR
65%
22%
13%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2013 |
RIO
1 - 2
TRE
52%
23%
24%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
SAM
4 - 2
TRE
58%
23%
20%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
TRE
2 - 0
CUI
39%
27%
35%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2013 |
TRE
3 - 0
RIO
36%
25%
39%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
LUV
1 - 0
BRA
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2013 |
COR
2 - 0
LUV
68%
21%
11%
|
63 | 87 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
CUI
1 - 2
LUV
29%
28%
44%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2013 |
LUV
1 - 0
COR
25%
29%
46%
|
62 | 87 | 25 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
LUV
3 - 1
SAN
46%
26%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |