Treze vs Goianésia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
20.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
CEN
0 - 1
TRE
34%
26%
39%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
TRE
0 - 0
CEN
53%
25%
23%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
GOI
1 - 1
TRE
41%
27%
33%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
TRE
1 - 1
SER
63%
22%
15%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
EST
0 - 2
TRE
19%
23%
58%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Goianésia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
GOI
0 - 2
EST
56%
23%
21%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
SER
0 - 1
GOI
36%
26%
38%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
EST
3 - 0
GOI
23%
24%
53%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | -2 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
GOI
0 - 0
SER
63%
22%
16%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
GOI
1 - 1
TRE
41%
27%
33%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |