Treze vs Figueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
67.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
TRE
1 - 0
CAM
40%
27%
33%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2018 |
TRE
1 - 2
SOU
59%
24%
17%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
BOT
1 - 1
TRE
67%
20%
13%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2018 |
TRE
1 - 2
CRB
18%
24%
59%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
NAC
0 - 0
TRE
23%
25%
52%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
AVA
3 - 3
FFL
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
FFL
1 - 0
BRU
66%
21%
14%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
TUB
1 - 2
FFL
18%
23%
60%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2018 |
FFL
1 - 0
CRI
46%
25%
29%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
FFL
1 - 0
PAY
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |