Treze vs Ferroviário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
50.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
SAM
2 - 0
TRE
69%
20%
11%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
TRE
1 - 0
GLO
25%
27%
48%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
NAU
1 - 0
TRE
78%
15%
7%
|
43 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
TRE
1 - 2
IMP
22%
25%
53%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
ABC
2 - 0
TRE
65%
21%
14%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2019 |
FER
1 - 2
ABC
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2019 |
FER
0 - 1
SAM
41%
27%
31%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
GLO
2 - 0
FER
36%
28%
37%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -2 |
| 16 Jul. 2019 |
FER
0 - 1
NAU
37%
27%
36%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 2
FER
68%
20%
12%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +2 |