Série D Brazil Final
Global 1-3
Treze vs Ferroviário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
33.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2018 |
FER
3 - 0
TRE
48%
24%
28%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2018 |
TRE
1 - 0
IMP
54%
25%
21%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2018 |
IMP
1 - 0
TRE
32%
26%
43%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2018 |
CAX
1 - 3
TRE
62%
22%
16%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
TRE
1 - 0
CAX
25%
29%
46%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2018 |
FER
3 - 0
TRE
48%
24%
28%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
ECS
2 - 1
FER
51%
25%
24%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -2 |
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
FER
3 - 1
ECS
30%
25%
45%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +3 |
| 10 Jul. 2018 |
CAM
1 - 0
FER
46%
26%
28%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -2 |
| 02 Jul. 2018 |
FER
3 - 2
CAM
42%
26%
32%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +2 |