Copa do Brasil 1/32
Global 2-2
Treze vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
63.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
TRE
2 - 2
SOU
62%
20%
18%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
TRE
1 - 0
BOT
53%
23%
24%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
PAR
2 - 1
TRE
21%
24%
54%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
TRE
1 - 1
CAM
46%
23%
31%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2012 |
FLA
1 - 3
TRE
12%
21%
67%
|
53 | 6 | 47 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
BAN
1 - 1
BOT
11%
20%
69%
|
82 | 50 | 32 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
BOT
3 - 1
VOL
85%
11%
4%
|
82 | 53 | 29 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
AME
2 - 4
BOT
12%
21%
67%
|
81 | 48 | 33 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2012 |
BOT
1 - 1
FLU
48%
24%
28%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
MAC
0 - 3
BOT
16%
23%
61%
|
81 | 56 | 25 | 0 |