Paraibano Etapas Finales Final
Global 3-4
Treze vs Botafogo PB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
47.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+118%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
CAM
0 - 0
TRE
53%
24%
22%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2017 |
TRE
2 - 1
CAM
29%
28%
43%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
BOT
0 - 1
TRE
68%
19%
13%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
TRE
2 - 0
AUT
49%
27%
24%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2017 |
SPB
0 - 0
TRE
30%
24%
46%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
BOT
1 - 0
ATL
75%
17%
9%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2017 |
ATL
0 - 3
BOT
17%
25%
58%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
BOT
0 - 1
TRE
68%
19%
13%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
BOT
3 - 0
PAR
79%
14%
6%
|
56 | 35 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2017 |
CAM
1 - 2
BOT
39%
27%
34%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |