Treze vs Baraunas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
13.2%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2013 |
RIO
1 - 2
TRE
52%
23%
24%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
SAM
4 - 2
TRE
58%
23%
20%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
TRE
2 - 0
CUI
39%
27%
35%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +2 |
| 15 Aug. 2013 |
TRE
3 - 0
RIO
36%
25%
39%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
SAN
6 - 0
TRE
66%
21%
12%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Baraunas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
BAR
2 - 1
RIO
23%
23%
54%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
BAR
0 - 1
BRA
18%
25%
57%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
FOR
3 - 0
BAR
76%
16%
8%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
BAR
0 - 3
CRB
23%
26%
50%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2013 |
LUV
2 - 0
BAR
74%
18%
9%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |