Treze vs América RJ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.3%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
40.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1987 |
TRE
0 - 2
PAL
20%
24%
55%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1986 |
PPE
1 - 1
TRE
75%
15%
10%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1986 |
TRE
0 - 0
SAN
25%
26%
50%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 1986 |
BAN
1 - 0
TRE
67%
21%
12%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 1986 |
SAO
4 - 1
TRE
87%
9%
4%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
América RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1987 |
AME
1 - 0
SAN
46%
27%
28%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1986 |
BAN
1 - 1
AME
51%
26%
23%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1986 |
AME
1 - 1
JEC
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1986 |
AME
0 - 0
BOT
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1986 |
AME
0 - 0
SAO
33%
27%
41%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |