Treviso vs Virtus Entella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
14.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treviso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
TRE
6 - 0
ACS
76%
16%
8%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
CUN
0 - 0
TRE
34%
27%
39%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 0
TRE
30%
27%
43%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
TRE
1 - 0
ACG
72%
18%
10%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
LEC
0 - 2
TRE
18%
25%
57%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
CAS
0 - 1
ACD
41%
27%
32%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
ACD
3 - 0
REN
58%
23%
19%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
ACD
2 - 1
SAN
40%
27%
33%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +2 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
ACD
5 - 0
ACS
76%
16%
8%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 1
ACD
20%
26%
54%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | -1 |