Treviso vs Poggibonsi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
8.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treviso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
TRE
2 - 1
ACM
76%
16%
8%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
ACD
2 - 2
TRE
19%
26%
56%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
TRE
2 - 3
CUN
68%
19%
13%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
ACS
0 - 2
TRE
17%
25%
59%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
TRE
1 - 1
SAN
74%
17%
9%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Poggibonsi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
USP
1 - 1
ACG
41%
27%
32%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
CUN
1 - 3
USP
71%
18%
11%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
USP
1 - 0
VAL
56%
25%
19%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
BOR
1 - 0
USP
45%
25%
30%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
VIN
1 - 1
USP
36%
26%
38%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |