Treviso vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
24.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treviso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1955 |
ACM
2 - 2
TRE
68%
19%
13%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1955 |
TRE
2 - 0
USA
48%
26%
26%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1955 |
PAV
1 - 1
TRE
61%
21%
18%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1955 |
TRE
0 - 2
VIC
43%
28%
28%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1955 |
TRE
2 - 2
ASS
47%
27%
26%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1955 |
MES
1 - 1
PAL
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1955 |
SAL
3 - 3
MES
59%
23%
19%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1955 |
MES
1 - 2
PAR
38%
24%
38%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1955 |
MES
2 - 0
PAD
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1955 |
VER
1 - 1
MES
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |