Treviso vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
47%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treviso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
INT
3 - 0
TRE
80%
14%
6%
|
67 | 92 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
TRE
0 - 1
SSM
81%
14%
6%
|
66 | 35 | 31 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2005 |
PRG
2 - 0
TRE
69%
20%
11%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2005 |
TRE
0 - 1
PRG
23%
26%
50%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2005 |
TRE
0 - 1
TOR
39%
29%
32%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
LIV
2 - 1
LEC
41%
25%
35%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2005 |
CTT
3 - 2
LIV
22%
24%
54%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
FCC
0 - 0
LIV
19%
23%
59%
|
75 | 51 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
LIV
3 - 0
FOR
87%
9%
3%
|
75 | 35 | 40 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
MES
1 - 1
LIV
50%
25%
26%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |