Treviso vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
25%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treviso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1951 |
ROM
2 - 1
TRE
71%
16%
13%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1951 |
TRE
1 - 0
VNZ
62%
20%
19%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1951 |
TRE
0 - 0
MES
60%
20%
20%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1951 |
BRE
0 - 0
TRE
62%
19%
19%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1951 |
REG
1 - 1
TRE
57%
21%
23%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1951 |
LIV
0 - 1
FAN
64%
20%
17%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1951 |
ATP
0 - 0
LIV
61%
19%
20%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1951 |
LIV
1 - 1
JUS
69%
17%
14%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1951 |
SIR
1 - 0
LIV
57%
20%
23%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1951 |
LIV
3 - 2
ACM
61%
20%
20%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |