Treviso vs FC Südtirol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
39.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treviso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
USC
2 - 0
TRE
73%
18%
9%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
TRE
0 - 0
POR
27%
26%
48%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2012 |
ABN
0 - 0
TRE
73%
17%
10%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
TRE
1 - 3
LEC
8%
19%
73%
|
45 | 77 | 32 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
TRA
3 - 2
TRE
66%
21%
13%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
FC Südtirol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
FCS
2 - 1
CUN
55%
26%
20%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 1
FCS
30%
27%
43%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
FCS
2 - 1
CAR
26%
30%
44%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ACL
1 - 0
FCS
48%
27%
25%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
FCS
2 - 1
PAV
39%
28%
33%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |