Treviso vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
16.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treviso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2000 |
TRE
1 - 1
TOR
35%
27%
38%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2000 |
CHI
2 - 1
TRE
52%
26%
22%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2000 |
TRE
2 - 3
CAG
28%
25%
47%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2000 |
SIE
2 - 0
TRE
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2000 |
BRE
1 - 0
TRE
28%
27%
46%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2000 |
CRO
0 - 2
CHI
43%
26%
31%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2000 |
COS
3 - 0
CRO
49%
25%
26%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2000 |
CRO
2 - 1
RAV
39%
26%
35%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2000 |
CAG
4 - 0
CRO
80%
14%
6%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2000 |
CRO
0 - 1
FER
77%
15%
8%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | -2 |