Treviso vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
30.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treviso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1954 |
TRE
0 - 0
MES
51%
26%
23%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1954 |
USA
3 - 2
TRE
66%
20%
14%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
ACM
4 - 0
TRE
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
TRE
0 - 0
FAN
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1954 |
VIC
1 - 1
TRE
63%
21%
16%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1954 |
VIC
1 - 2
CAT
46%
26%
29%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1954 |
CAT
1 - 3
MES
68%
20%
13%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
BRE
0 - 2
CAT
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
MOD
1 - 0
CAT
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1954 |
CAT
3 - 0
ATP
74%
17%
9%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |