Treviso vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
30.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treviso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
TRE
0 - 0
VER
55%
23%
21%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1953 |
MOD
0 - 0
TRE
58%
23%
18%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1953 |
SAL
2 - 0
TRE
57%
24%
20%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1953 |
TRE
2 - 5
PRO
48%
25%
28%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 May. 1953 |
TRE
2 - 1
SAL
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
VIC
4 - 1
CAG
45%
24%
30%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1953 |
CAG
3 - 1
CAT
62%
20%
18%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1953 |
CAG
1 - 0
MES
64%
20%
16%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1953 |
BRE
1 - 0
CAG
42%
25%
34%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1953 |
VER
3 - 1
CAG
47%
23%
30%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |