Treviso vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
44.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treviso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1952 |
UNI
2 - 1
TRE
70%
17%
13%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1952 |
MOD
0 - 0
TRE
60%
21%
19%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1952 |
TRE
1 - 0
CAT
54%
23%
23%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 1952 |
TRE
1 - 1
GEN
44%
24%
32%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 1952 |
TRE
0 - 0
ACM
59%
21%
20%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1952 |
CAG
1 - 0
PAD
66%
18%
17%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1952 |
CAG
0 - 0
SIR
78%
14%
9%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1952 |
FAN
2 - 2
CAG
36%
23%
41%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1938 |
CIV
3 - 2
CAG
19%
21%
60%
|
74 | 22 | 52 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1938 |
CAG
2 - 0
SGI
88%
8%
4%
|
74 | 9 | 65 | 0 |