Treviso vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
40.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treviso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
TRI
1 - 2
TRE
43%
28%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
ARZ
1 - 2
TRE
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
TRE
3 - 0
SPE
51%
27%
23%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
BOL
0 - 0
TRE
67%
20%
12%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2006 |
TRE
3 - 0
FRO
44%
27%
30%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
BRE
0 - 0
BAR
59%
24%
16%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
CES
2 - 1
BRE
36%
27%
37%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
BRE
2 - 1
PES
70%
20%
10%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
VIC
1 - 3
BRE
27%
26%
47%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2006 |
BRE
1 - 1
BOL
43%
28%
29%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |