Treviso vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
23.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treviso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1954 |
PAD
2 - 0
TRE
60%
22%
18%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1954 |
TRE
3 - 2
CAT
42%
28%
30%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1954 |
TRE
0 - 0
MES
51%
26%
23%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1954 |
USA
3 - 2
TRE
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
ACM
4 - 0
TRE
61%
22%
17%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1954 |
BRE
1 - 1
ASS
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1954 |
COM
2 - 0
BRE
62%
22%
17%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1954 |
BRE
2 - 0
PAV
60%
23%
17%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1954 |
PAD
3 - 0
BRE
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
BRE
0 - 2
CAT
42%
27%
31%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |