Treviso vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
20.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treviso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1951 |
REG
1 - 1
TRE
64%
18%
18%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1951 |
TRE
3 - 1
USC
67%
18%
15%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 1951 |
PIS
1 - 0
TRE
55%
21%
24%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 1951 |
TRE
0 - 3
MOD
58%
21%
21%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1951 |
TRE
0 - 1
MES
66%
18%
16%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1951 |
SPE
1 - 0
ANC
75%
15%
11%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1951 |
SPE
1 - 0
VER
56%
21%
23%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 1951 |
SPE
3 - 2
LIV
57%
20%
22%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1951 |
SAL
2 - 1
SPE
58%
21%
21%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1951 |
REG
1 - 1
SPE
64%
19%
17%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |