Treviso vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
10.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treviso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1951 |
BRE
1 - 0
TRE
60%
20%
20%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1951 |
SAL
2 - 1
TRE
59%
20%
21%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 May. 1951 |
TRE
2 - 0
VNZ
60%
20%
20%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 May. 1951 |
UNI
8 - 2
TRE
77%
13%
10%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 1951 |
TRE
0 - 0
VER
55%
21%
24%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1951 |
ANC
1 - 0
PIS
44%
24%
32%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1951 |
SPA
2 - 0
ANC
82%
12%
7%
|
48 | 73 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1951 |
ANC
1 - 4
SAL
47%
25%
28%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 May. 1951 |
FAN
3 - 0
ANC
80%
12%
9%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 1951 |
ANC
0 - 1
MOD
44%
25%
32%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |