Treviso vs Prato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
9.8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treviso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
PAD
1 - 0
TRE
45%
26%
29%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
TRE
3 - 0
PRO
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
ARZ
1 - 1
TRE
25%
26%
49%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2003 |
TRE
0 - 2
ABN
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
PIS
0 - 1
TRE
31%
28%
42%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
ACP
2 - 1
CES
26%
27%
48%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
SPE
2 - 1
ACP
70%
19%
11%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
ACP
1 - 3
ACL
43%
26%
31%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
SPA
3 - 0
ACP
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -2 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
ACP
1 - 0
VAR
46%
26%
28%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |