Treviso vs Pavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treviso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1954 |
ATP
1 - 1
TRE
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1954 |
TRE
1 - 0
BRE
51%
26%
24%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1954 |
PAD
2 - 0
TRE
60%
22%
18%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1954 |
TRE
3 - 2
CAT
42%
28%
30%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1954 |
TRE
0 - 0
MES
51%
26%
23%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1954 |
PAV
3 - 0
SAL
55%
23%
22%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1954 |
CAT
0 - 0
PAV
73%
17%
11%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1954 |
MES
1 - 0
PAV
56%
24%
20%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1954 |
PAV
2 - 1
PAD
53%
23%
24%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1954 |
BRE
2 - 0
PAV
60%
23%
17%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |