Treviso vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
22.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treviso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2008 |
TRE
2 - 1
GRO
40%
28%
33%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
BAR
0 - 1
TRE
56%
25%
19%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
BRE
0 - 0
TRE
68%
22%
11%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
TRE
0 - 1
ABN
33%
28%
39%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
MAN
2 - 1
TRE
58%
25%
17%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2008 |
CES
1 - 0
AVE
42%
26%
32%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
FRO
5 - 2
CES
61%
22%
18%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
CES
1 - 1
TRI
35%
27%
38%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
SPE
1 - 0
CES
45%
26%
29%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
CES
1 - 2
RIM
29%
28%
44%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |