Trethomas Bluebirds vs Penrhiwceiber Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.5%
19%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19%
58.9%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
5.2%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trethomas Bluebirds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
TRE
4 - 1
ERA
11%
15%
74%
|
14 | 37 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 0
TRE
75%
15%
10%
|
14 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
TRE
2 - 1
HAV
3%
8%
89%
|
13 | 58 | 45 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
TRE
6 - 0
TON
8%
12%
80%
|
9 | 23 | 14 | +4 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 1
TRE
85%
10%
5%
|
9 | 45 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Penrhiwceiber Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
LLF
3 - 4
PEN
9%
13%
78%
|
27 | 8 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 3
FLI
7%
13%
81%
|
27 | 57 | 30 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
AAF
0 - 3
PEN
59%
19%
22%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
WES
12 - 2
PEN
35%
21%
44%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | -3 |
| 19 May. 2011 |
PON
4 - 1
PEN
76%
16%
9%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | +10 |