Trethomas Bluebirds vs Baglan Dragons analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
25.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+146%
+70%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trethomas Bluebirds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
CAM
0 - 1
TRE
59%
21%
20%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
TRE
2 - 1
NWC
72%
16%
13%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
GOY
1 - 2
TRE
61%
20%
19%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
HAV
0 - 0
TRE
74%
16%
10%
|
35 | 68 | 33 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
TRE
3 - 2
LID
37%
20%
42%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Baglan Dragons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
BDG
2 - 2
NWC
70%
17%
14%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
CAE
2 - 1
BDG
60%
20%
20%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
BDG
2 - 2
PON
25%
24%
50%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
TAF
1 - 3
BDG
39%
22%
39%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
BDG
4 - 1
CAM
21%
22%
57%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | +5 |