Trepça'89 vs Ferizaj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
20.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
5º
9º
9º
39
7º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trepça'89
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
DSK
1 - 2
TRE
44%
26%
31%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
TRE
0 - 0
UEM
34%
27%
39%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
GJI
1 - 0
TRE
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
TRE
0 - 1
KFB
31%
27%
43%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
LLA
2 - 1
TRE
53%
23%
24%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ferizaj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
FER
2 - 1
LLA
26%
26%
48%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
DSK
1 - 0
FER
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
FER
2 - 1
FCD
23%
27%
51%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2023 |
UEM
1 - 1
FER
57%
24%
19%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
FER
1 - 0
PRI
22%
27%
51%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | +1 |