Trepça'89 vs Ferizaj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
19.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
5º
9º
9º
39
7º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trepça'89
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
DSK
2 - 5
TRE
47%
25%
27%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
TRE
2 - 3
UEM
35%
27%
38%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
GJI
3 - 1
TRE
47%
26%
27%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
LLA
2 - 2
TRE
56%
22%
22%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
TRE
2 - 2
FCD
34%
28%
38%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Ferizaj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
FER
2 - 1
LLA
24%
25%
51%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
DSK
0 - 0
FER
62%
22%
16%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
FER
1 - 1
FCD
22%
26%
52%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
UEM
3 - 1
FER
56%
25%
19%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
FER
0 - 0
PRI
22%
26%
51%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |