Trento vs Virtus Don Bosco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
39.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
CJA
2 - 1
TRE
63%
18%
18%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
TRE
66%
18%
17%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
TRE
1 - 2
CAR
43%
22%
35%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
TRE
2 - 2
GSD
46%
22%
32%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
BEL
0 - 0
TRE
47%
24%
29%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Virtus Don Bosco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
VDB
4 - 0
CAR
46%
22%
33%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
BEL
1 - 1
VDB
51%
22%
28%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
VDB
0 - 2
CAM
27%
22%
51%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
UNI
0 - 0
VDB
34%
22%
44%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
LEV
1 - 1
VDB
38%
22%
40%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |