UEFA Youth League 1/64
Global 5-2
Trenčín U19 vs Žalgiris Vilnius U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.9%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.3%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.5%
6.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trenčín U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
TRE
2 - 2
FKK
69%
18%
13%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
ZAL
2 - 1
TRE
7%
12%
81%
|
44 | 7 | 37 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
DAC
1 - 4
TRE
36%
24%
40%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
TRE
3 - 2
BRA
57%
22%
21%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
TRN
1 - 1
TRE
32%
26%
42%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Žalgiris Vilnius U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
ZAL
2 - 1
TRE
7%
12%
81%
|
7 | 44 | 37 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
HAI
2 - 0
ZAL
85%
10%
5%
|
7 | 47 | 40 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
ZAL
0 - 3
HAI
10%
15%
75%
|
9 | 48 | 39 | -2 |