Trenčín vs MFK Dukla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
31.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
3º
11º
8º
7
3º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
14 | 42 |
1º
|
48% | |
|
1º
|
15 | 42 |
2º
|
30% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 35 |
3º
|
27% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 34 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
7 | 31 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 30 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 30 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
|
10º
|
6 | 30 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 25 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 20 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 19 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 19 |
12º
|
27% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
51% | 61% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
49% | 39% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trenčín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
RUZ
1 - 0
TRE
39%
27%
34%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
TRE
2 - 0
FKK
68%
19%
13%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
TNV
0 - 0
TRE
40%
27%
33%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
GAL
4 - 1
TRE
74%
15%
11%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
BOH
4 - 0
TRE
39%
25%
36%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
MFK Dukla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
FKD
1 - 0
DAC
42%
25%
33%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
FKD
1 - 1
SKA
55%
23%
21%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
RUZ
1 - 1
FKD
40%
26%
33%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
FKD
2 - 2
SKA
57%
23%
20%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
TRE
2 - 0
FKD
44%
24%
32%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |