UEFA Intertoto Cup 1/16
Global 0-4
Trenčín vs Dinaburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
9.1%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trenčín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2000 |
TRE
2 - 0
DUB
68%
20%
13%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2000 |
KOS
4 - 0
TRE
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2000 |
TRE
1 - 1
NIT
73%
17%
10%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2000 |
SBR
3 - 0
TRE
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2000 |
TRE
1 - 3
BRA
50%
26%
24%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Dinaburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2000 |
FCS
3 - 0
DIN
79%
14%
7%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2000 |
DIN
1 - 1
FKD
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2000 |
LIE
0 - 1
DIN
74%
16%
10%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2000 |
FKR
1 - 2
DIN
50%
25%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2000 |
FCD
0 - 2
DIN
38%
25%
37%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | +1 |