Trem DC vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.9%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.7%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
1.2%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.1%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.1%
0
14.4%
80.7%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
17.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
23.9%
0-3
13.7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
17.1%
0-4
7.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
9.4%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trem DC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
SCH
2 - 0
TDC
26%
21%
53%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
TDC
1 - 1
IAP
37%
23%
40%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2022 |
IAP
2 - 2
TDC
42%
22%
36%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
RIO
3 - 0
TDC
51%
22%
27%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
TDC
1 - 2
SAO
35%
26%
39%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
VAS
2 - 0
BOT
36%
27%
37%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
FLU
2 - 0
VAS
78%
15%
8%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
NOV
0 - 2
VAS
12%
20%
68%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2023 |
VAS
5 - 0
RES
84%
12%
4%
|
74 | 49 | 25 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
VAS
1 - 2
VOL
67%
19%
14%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |