Treibach vs Welzenegg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.5%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.8%
5.7%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
LEN
2 - 0
TRE
51%
24%
25%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2010 |
TRE
2 - 1
MSA
63%
20%
18%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
DRA
1 - 1
TRE
56%
23%
22%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2010 |
TRE
1 - 2
SPI
63%
20%
17%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | -3 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
RAP
1 - 1
TRE
35%
26%
39%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Welzenegg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
MSA
4 - 0
WEL
80%
13%
7%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2010 |
WEL
0 - 0
SPI
16%
21%
63%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2010 |
VEI
3 - 2
WEL
85%
10%
5%
|
9 | 21 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2010 |
WEL
0 - 3
WOL
17%
22%
61%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
GRI
5 - 2
WEL
55%
22%
22%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |