Treibach vs Rapid Lienz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
8.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
FLC
3 - 1
TRE
72%
16%
12%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2017 |
TRE
2 - 1
FEL
65%
19%
16%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
TRE
0 - 2
MSA
53%
22%
25%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2017 |
WAC
1 - 1
TRE
79%
13%
8%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2017 |
TRE
2 - 1
GMD
67%
19%
15%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Rapid Lienz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
RAP
0 - 3
MSA
15%
20%
65%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
WAC
2 - 1
RAP
88%
9%
3%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
RAP
0 - 1
GMD
40%
25%
35%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2017 |
SPI
3 - 1
RAP
67%
18%
15%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
RAP
0 - 1
SVD
75%
16%
10%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | -1 |