Treibach vs Maria Saal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
16.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
FLC
1 - 2
TRE
54%
22%
24%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
TRE
0 - 0
DRA
59%
21%
20%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
TRE
4 - 4
SPI
48%
23%
29%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
ANB
4 - 1
TRE
26%
23%
51%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
TRE
2 - 1
FEL
24%
23%
53%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Maria Saal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
MSA
0 - 1
VOL
35%
24%
40%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
STE
1 - 2
MSA
55%
21%
24%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
GMD
3 - 2
MSA
56%
21%
23%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
MSA
1 - 1
WOL
20%
22%
59%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
BLE
6 - 1
MSA
48%
23%
29%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -1 |