Treibach vs Griffen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.8%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.1%
5.1%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2011 |
SCL
4 - 4
TRE
18%
23%
60%
|
23 | 11 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2011 |
TRE
2 - 0
SVV
35%
24%
42%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
WAC
1 - 4
TRE
29%
25%
46%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2011 |
TRE
2 - 1
VOL
75%
16%
9%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
WEL
1 - 2
TRE
28%
25%
47%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Griffen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2011 |
GRI
1 - 3
SVV
9%
16%
74%
|
6 | 25 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2011 |
VOL
3 - 1
GRI
77%
15%
8%
|
6 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
GRI
0 - 4
LEN
13%
21%
66%
|
7 | 21 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2011 |
DRA
4 - 0
GRI
83%
12%
5%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
GRI
0 - 4
RAP
14%
20%
65%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |